一週期權回顧(18/4 – 21/4)
一週期權回顧(18/4 – 21/4)
交易日 | 全日最低 | 指數收市 | 點數變動 | 全日最高 | 恒指波幅指數 | ||
13/4/2017 | 24097 | 24242 | -55 | 24379 | 14.7 | ||
18/4/2017 | 23831 | 23843 | -399 | 24314 | 16.1 | ||
19/4/2017 | 23706 | 23827 | -16 | 23874 | 15.56 | ||
20/4/2017 | 23754 | 24061 | +234 | 24075 | 14.9 | ||
21/4/2017 | 23977 | 24028 | -33 | 24216 | 15.27 | ||
18/4 期權倉位重點成交
CONTRACT MONTH | STRIKE PRICE | C/P | *OPENING PRICE | *DAILY HIGH | *DAILY LOW | O.Q.P. CLOSE | O.Q.P. CHANGE | IV% | VOLUME | OPEN INTEREST | CHANGE IN OI |
Apr-17 | 23800 | C | 557 | 557 | 263 | 265 | -287 | 16 | 519 | 1314 | 215 |
Apr-17 | 24000 | C | 400 | 411 | 162 | 165 | -236 | 15 | 1218 | 1513 | 352 |
Apr-17 | 24200 | C | 275 | 288 | 92 | 93 | -177 | 15 | 3175 | 3422 | 100 |
Apr-17 | 24400 | C | 148 | 181 | 47 | 48 | -121 | 14 | 2689 | 2814 | 212 |
Apr-17 | 23400 | P | 43 | 106 | 37 | 104 | 53 | 18 | 2605 | 3439 | 379 |
Apr-17 | 23600 | P | 69 | 155 | 55 | 150 | 76 | 17 | 2618 | 3141 | 382 |
Apr-17 | 23800 | P | 94 | 229 | 83 | 221 | 113 | 16 | 2479 | 2985 | -64 |
Apr-17 | 24000 | P | 97 | 328 | 97 | 319 | 157 | 15 | 1664 | 3327 | 69 |
Apr-17 | 24200 | P | 212 | 438 | 195 | 444 | 213 | 14 | 2014 | 3635 | -586 |
May-17 | 24600 | C | 230 | 230 | 126 | 127 | -122 | 13 | 354 | 886 | 107 |
May-17 | 24800 | C | 158 | 173 | 88 | 88 | -93 | 13 | 261 | 574 | 62 |
May-17 | 25000 | C | 128 | 131 | 58 | 58 | -73 | 12 | 828 | 1478 | 151 |
May-17 | 21000 | P | 16 | 30 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 21 | 421 | 1379 | 260 |
May-17 | 22400 | P | 70 | 128 | 70 | 128 | 48 | 18 | 860 | 1540 | 564 |
May-17 | 23600 | P | 258 | 415 | 258 | 415 | 139 | 15 | 445 | 1477 | 117 |
Jun-17 | 22600 | P | 235 | 305 | 235 | 305 | 86 | 16 | 385 | 2598 | 209 |
Jun-17 | 24200 | P | 810 | 810 | 810 | 995 | 237 | 14 | 930 | 1131 | 860 |
Sep-17 | 22000 | P | 436 | 436 | 436 | 489 | 89 | 16 | 351 | 2910 | -300 |
今早跟隨美股高開後,便出現久違了的單方向走勢,中午前依然能夠守穩24000,下午3時再出現第二浪跌勢至本月低位23831。引伸波幅亦上升至近月高位16.1。
今晚即月期權倉變化感覺風平浪靜,由其是242P出現的減倉源自上午有一手非市場平倉。
但實際風眼已經轉向五月,以及六月的put倉,小心
19/4 期權倉位重點成交
CONTRACT MONTH | STRIKE PRICE | C/P | *OPENING PRICE | *DAILY HIGH | *DAILY LOW | O.Q.P. CLOSE | O.Q.P. CHANGE | IV% | VOLUME | OPEN INTEREST | CHANGE IN OI |
APR-17 | 23800 | C | 255 | 258 | 181 | 226 | -39 | 15 | 1974 | 1528 | +214 |
APR-17 | 24000 | C | 166 | 166 | 98 | 130 | -35 | 14 | 1824 | 1806 | +293 |
APR-17 | 24200 | C | 88 | 88 | 48 | 67 | -26 | 14 | 2147 | 3537 | +115 |
APR-17 | 24400 | C | 44 | 44 | 21 | 30 | -18 | 13 | 1704 | 2962 | +148 |
APR-17 | 24600 | C | 18 | 20 | 10 | 12 | -11 | 13 | 1613 | 3345 | -291 |
APR-17 | 24800 | C | 9 | 9 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 | 675 | 2543 | -107 |
APR-17 | 25000 | C | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 13 | 442 | 3218 | -189 |
APR-17 | 23200 | P | 61 | 80 | 50 | 50 | -21 | 17 | 1225 | 2437 | +203 |
APR-17 | 23400 | P | 90 | 121 | 78 | 80 | -24 | 16 | 2092 | 3453 | +14 |
APR-17 | 23600 | P | 151 | 181 | 123 | 126 | -24 | 15 | 2492 | 3301 | +160 |
APR-17 | 23800 | P | 191 | 267 | 191 | 200 | -21 | 15 | 2050 | 3077 | +92 |
APR-17 | 24000 | P | 310 | 386 | 291 | 306 | -13 | 14 | 896 | 3180 | -147 |
APR-17 | 24200 | P | 471 | 540 | 425 | 443 | -1 | 14 | 112 | 3597 | -38 |
MAY-17 | 23600 | C | 526 | 526 | 460 | 508 | -40 | 14 | 89 | 1126 | +54 |
MAY-17 | 23800 | C | 411 | 418 | 348 | 392 | -41 | 13 | 165 | 335 | +83 |
MAY-17 | 24000 | C | 320 | 320 | 260 | 297 | -36 | 13 | 154 | 1101 | +82 |
MAY-17 | 24200 | C | 227 | 240 | 188 | 218 | -30 | 13 | 262 | 1314 | +67 |
MAY-17 | 24400 | C | 165 | 166 | 135 | 157 | -24 | 13 | 199 | 740 | +26 |
MAY-17 | 24600 | C | 117 | 117 | 93 | 109 | -18 | 12 | 501 | 1001 | +115 |
MAY-17 | 24800 | C | 82 | 82 | 62 | 73 | -15 | 12 | 387 | 760 | +186 |
MAY-17 | 25000 | C | 58 | 58 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 12 | 370 | 1547 | +69 |
MAY-17 | 25200 | C | 35 | 36 | 26 | 30 | -6 | 12 | 284 | 775 | +110 |
JUN-17 | 23800 | C | 460 | 460 | 406 | 444 | -34 | 13 | 221 | 296 | +197 |
JUN-17 | 25000 | C | 105 | 108 | 92 | 100 | -18 | 13 | 329 | 1916 | +259 |
JUN-17 | 21600 | P | 143 | 143 | 132 | 125 | -16 | 17 | 257 | 1322 | +176 |
JUN-17 | 23800 | P | 808 | 810 | 758 | 742 | -3 | 13 | 216 | 443 | +205 |
JUL-17 | 25000 | C | 140 | 150 | 140 | 148 | -19 | 13 | 152 | 157 | +109 |
JUL-17 | 26400 | C | 28 | 29 | 26 | 17 | -7 | 12 | 182 | 182 | +182 |
SEP-17 | 21600 | P | 404 | 404 | 381 | 379 | -18 | 16 | 402 | 881 | +275 |
今天早段市況一度再試本月低位23700位置後,逐步回升。期權倉位與昨天類似而且整體淨倉變化比昨天更少,4月 deep in money put 減倉但暫不能估計下面支持力在那,粗略估計在234/236附近,call倉繼續之前244封頂,但要小心留意,五月份有不少call倉加倉。
20/4 期權倉位重點成交
CONTRACT MONTH | STRIKE PRICE | C/P | *OPENING PRICE | *DAILY HIGH | *DAILY LOW | O.Q.P. CLOSE | O.Q.P. CHANGE | IV% | VOLUME | OPEN INTEREST | CHANGE IN OI |
Apr-17 | 24000 | C | 105 | 235 | 101 | 227 | 97 | 14 | 2121 | 1618 | -188 |
Apr-17 | 24200 | C | 51 | 132 | 49 | 126 | 59 | 14 | 3090 | 3747 | 210 |
Apr-17 | 24400 | C | 24 | 64 | 23 | 61 | 31 | 13 | 2499 | 3427 | 465 |
Apr-17 | 24600 | C | 9 | 28 | 9 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 1538 | 3515 | 170 |
Apr-17 | 22400 | P | 9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 22 | 468 | 3856 | 300 |
Apr-17 | 22800 | P | 20 | 22 | 7 | 7 | -13 | 20 | 520 | 1993 | 242 |
May-17 | 24000 | C | 292 | 395 | 292 | 391 | 94 | 13 | 588 | 1344 | 243 |
May-17 | 23800 | P | 473 | 473 | 359 | 359 | -128 | 13 | 743 | 1111 | 265 |
May-17 | 23400 | P | 335 | 335 | 231 | 231 | -95 | 14 | 1734 | 2454 | 1155 |
May-17 | 22600 | P | 128 | 131 | 90 | 92 | -47 | 16 | 390 | 1685 | 159 |
Jun-17 | 25000 | C | 98 | 131 | 98 | 127 | 27 | 12 | 242 | 2111 | 195 |
Jul-17 | 24800 | C | 223 | 230 | 222 | 227 | 42 | 12 | 86 | 96 | 86 |
Jul-17 | 26400 | C | 27 | 29 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 163 | 340 | 158 |
Jul-17 | 22600 | P | 375 | 389 | 338 | 326 | -85 | 15 | 125 | 125 | 122 |
Sep-17 | 21400 | P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | -61 | 16 | 200 | 1792 | 200 |
國內稅率改革抵消了昨晚美股的跌市,中年三時前一直力守23860以上。三時後市況急速上升,一度回升至阻力位24080。
期權倉位方面比較簡單,五月份234P大部分是三時前成交,估計是以Short為主,而即月240C減倉主要為持有成品較貴,以gamma trade比較,平240C改為持有242C或244C更合乎邏輯。觀乎近日表現,轉倉位為236/244之間。
21/4 期權倉位重點成交
CONTRACT MONTH | STRIKE PRICE | C/P | *OPENING PRICE | *DAILY HIGH | *DAILY LOW | O.Q.P. CLOSE | O.Q.P. CHANGE | IV% | VOLUME | OPEN INTEREST | CHANGE IN OI |
APR-17 | 23800 | C | 410 | 440 | 313 | 332 | -28 | 16 | 282 | 1579 | -47 |
APR-17 | 24000 | C | 264 | 306 | 178 | 200 | -27 | 15 | 1310 | 1589 | -29 |
APR-17 | 24200 | C | 148 | 183 | 92 | 105 | -21 | 14 | 2975 | 3508 | -239 |
APR-17 | 24400 | C | 63 | 93 | 41 | 47 | -14 | 13 | 2946 | 3406 | -21 |
APR-17 | 24600 | C | 33 | 40 | 16 | 18 | -8 | 13 | 2075 | 3794 | +279 |
APR-17 | 24800 | C | 10 | 15 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 13 | 1249 | 2907 | +261 |
APR-17 | 22200 | P | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 26 | 420 | 2692 | +202 |
APR-17 | 22800 | P | 5 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 22 | 1561 | 2651 | +658 |
APR-17 | 23200 | P | 14 | 28 | 11 | 23 | +3 | 19 | 1240 | 2645 | +330 |
APR-17 | 23400 | P | 25 | 45 | 11 | 39 | +5 | 18 | 2290 | 3565 | +189 |
APR-17 | 23600 | P | 42 | 73 | 30 | 63 | +5 | 17 | 2282 | 3269 | -13 |
APR-17 | 23800 | P | 78 | 121 | 54 | 105 | +8 | 16 | 3511 | 3244 | +120 |
APR-17 | 24000 | P | 132 | 197 | 100 | 176 | +16 | 15 | 2771 | 3089 | -80 |
APR-17 | 24200 | P | 206 | 305 | 174 | 283 | +22 | 14 | 852 | 3483 | -118 |
APR-17 | 24400 | P | 310 | 450 | 300 | 421 | +24 | 14 | 82 | 1106 | -15 |
MAY-17 | 24000 | C | 435 | 462 | 372 | 382 | -9 | 13 | 435 | 1454 | +110 |
MAY-17 | 24200 | C | 258 | 348 | 258 | 285 | -8 | 13 | 481 | 1478 | +159 |
MAY-17 | 24400 | C | 240 | 260 | 195 | 209 | -4 | 13 | 372 | 931 | +125 |
MAY-17 | 24600 | C | 167 | 179 | 137 | 149 | -1 | 12 | 261 | 987 | -50 |
MAY-17 | 24800 | C | 113 | 128 | 94 | 102 | 0 | 12 | 1091 | 1493 | +717 |
MAY-17 | 23200 | P | 158 | 201 | 150 | 200 | +17 | 15 | 823 | 1545 | +724 |
JUN-17 | 24200 | C | 399 | 399 | 336 | 349 | -3 | 13 | 247 | 660 | +161 |
JUN-17 | 22800 | P | 230 | 272 | 230 | 273 | +15 | 15 | 171 | 768 | -129 |
JUN-17 | 23000 | P | 280 | 328 | 273 | 324 | +17 | 15 | 102 | 1934 | -218 |
JUL-17 | 22000 | P | 204 | 221 | 204 | 225 | +15 | 16 | 169 | 412 | +160 |
JUL-17 | 22600 | P | 337 | 347 | 337 | 347 | +21 | 15 | 421 | 418 | +293 |
SEP-17 | 24200 | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 589 | -2 | 14 | 275 | 795 | +225 |
今早隨美股高開,然後跌幅逐步縮小並曾一度跌破24000,收報24028。
早市240P一直出現異動,成交一直偏高於理論價值,最後該偏於理論價值的原因正正在市況反映出來。
今天市況只是微跌33點,但引伸波幅卻上升0.37。正正因爲反映市場對法國總統大選與下週初北韓事宜的憂慮。
今晚期權倉位的變化是少有地複雜,兩邊Deep in the money Call Put 都有減倉,尤其是今天異動的240P亦出現減倉,只剩餘兩邊較遠價的位置加倉,主力戰場在下月232P和248C,估計以S248C L232P為主
策略前瞻
觀察今晚的權倉變化,預期法國總統大選應該沒有太大影響,轉倉位應該選擇236/244內運行。
Remarks: ALL the data given above are calculated based on historical data. It doesn’t mean that the given sceanrio will happen in the coming time.
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